tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Newark via Boston: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:05 ROC → 07:35 BOS
    AA 4806 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 93% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 23m layover in Boston (BOS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:58 BOS → 12:26 EWR
    UA 2394 · United · 1h 28m · 88% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 113 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 23m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 21mROC 06:05 to EWR 12:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.