tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hilton Head Island → Washington via New York: arrives on time 35%

  1. 16:15 HHH → 18:25 LGA
    DL 5590 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 10m · 60% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 LGA → 22:55 DCA
    DL 1825 · Delta · 1h 30m · 47% on time, 6.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (6.2% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip6h 40mHHH 16:15 to DCA 22:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.