tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hilton Head Island → Chicago via New York: arrives on time 43%

  1. 16:15 HHH → 18:25 LGA
    DL 5590 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 10m · 60% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:45 LGA → 22:36 ORD
    DL 2806 · Delta · 2h 49m · 59% on time, 5.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Hilton Head Island). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip7h 19mHHH 16:15 to ORD 22:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.