tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hilton Head Island → Washington via New York: arrives on time 23%

  1. 16:15 HHH → 18:25 LGA
    DL 5590 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 10m · 60% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:20 LGA → 20:59 DCA
    DL 5724 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 40m · 50% on time, 10.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (10.9% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip4h 45mHHH 16:15 to DCA 20:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.