tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Minneapolis via Boston: arrives on time 35%

  1. 15:15 DCA → 17:02 BOS
    DL 5600 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 49m · 61% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 BOS → 20:15 MSP
    DL 1098 · Delta · 3h 25m · 72% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 00mDCA 15:15 to MSP 20:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.