tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Miami via New York: arrives on time 46%

  1. 14:13 SDF → 16:30 LGA
    DL 5637 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 16m · 81% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 LGA → 21:21 MIA
    DL 1620 · Delta · 3h 31m · 58% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip7h 08mSDF 14:13 to MIA 21:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.