tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Miami via New York: arrives on time 54%

  1. 14:13 SDF → 16:30 LGA
    DL 5637 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 16m · 81% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 LGA → 23:19 MIA
    DL 2382 · Delta · 3h 26m · 59% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip9h 08mSDF 14:13 to MIA 23:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.