tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Washington via New York: arrives on time 41%

  1. 14:13 SDF → 16:30 LGA
    DL 5637 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 16m · 81% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:20 LGA → 20:59 DCA
    DL 5724 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 40m · 50% on time, 10.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (10.9% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip6h 47mSDF 14:13 to DCA 20:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.