tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Detroit via New York: arrives on time 48%

  1. 17:18 TVC → 19:32 LGA
    DL 5638 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 14m · 76% on time, 18.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 28m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 LGA → 23:10 DTW
    DL 1014 · Delta · 2h 10m · 70% on time, 5.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 28m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (18.8% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (5.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 52mTVC 17:18 to DTW 23:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.