tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Miami via New York: arrives on time 42%

  1. 14:48 IND → 16:58 LGA
    DL 5642 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 10m · 84% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 LGA → 21:21 MIA
    DL 1620 · Delta · 3h 31m · 58% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 33mIND 14:48 to MIA 21:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.