tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Los Angeles via Indianapolis: arrives on time 81%

  1. 11:45 LGA → 14:06 IND
    DL 5642 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 21m · 85% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 19m layover in Indianapolis (IND) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:25 IND → 18:49 LAX
    DL 861 · Delta · 4h 24m · 87% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 10h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 154 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 19m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip10h 04mLGA 11:45 to LAX 18:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.