tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → San Francisco via Boston: arrives on time 40%

  1. 18:21 BWI → 20:00 BOS
    DL 5644 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 67% on time, 5.9% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 BOS → 00:33 SFO +1 day
    DL 2919 · Delta · 6h 38m · 66% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (5.9% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip9h 12mBWI 18:21 to SFO 00:33, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.