tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Boston via Washington: arrives on time 44%

  1. 17:24 MSN → 20:28 DCA
    DL 5645 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 04m · 73% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 DCA → 23:44 BOS
    DL 5633 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 44m · 67% on time, 18.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (18.8% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 20mMSN 17:24 to BOS 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.