tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Minneapolis via Columbus: arrives on time 82%

  1. 09:53 JFK → 11:53 CMH
    DL 5649 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 00m · 83% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Columbus (CMH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 CMH → 15:07 MSP
    DL 2550 · Delta · 2h 07m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 82 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 14mJFK 09:53 to MSP 15:07, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.