tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Detroit via New York: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 SDF → 08:15 LGA
    DL 5652 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 13m · 90% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:25 LGA → 11:25 DTW
    DL 1078 · Delta · 1h 59m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 24mSDF 06:00 to DTW 11:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.