tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Detroit via New York: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 SDF → 08:15 LGA
    DL 5652 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 13m · 90% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 40m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:55 LGA → 14:51 DTW
    DL 1122 · Delta · 1h 56m · 81% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 235 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 40m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 51mSDF 06:00 to DTW 14:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.