tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Miami via New York: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:00 SDF → 08:15 LGA
    DL 5652 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 13m · 90% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:15 LGA → 14:24 MIA
    DL 1538 · Delta · 3h 09m · 77% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 24mSDF 06:00 to MIA 14:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.