tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Tampa via New York: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:00 SDF → 08:15 LGA
    DL 5652 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 13m · 90% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 20m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:35 LGA → 15:34 TPA
    DL 2106 · Delta · 2h 59m · 85% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 9h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 215 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 20m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip9h 34mSDF 06:00 to TPA 15:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.