tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Tampa via New York: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:00 SDF → 08:15 LGA
    DL 5652 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 13m · 90% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 LGA → 13:33 TPA
    DL 2195 · Delta · 2h 52m · 79% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 32mSDF 06:00 to TPA 13:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.