tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Atlanta via New York: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 SDF → 08:15 LGA
    DL 5652 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 13m · 90% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 44m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:59 LGA → 13:20 ATL
    DL 993 · Delta · 2h 21m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 44m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 20mSDF 06:00 to ATL 13:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.