tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Martha's Vineyard → Washington via New York: arrives on time 55%

  1. 11:42 MVY → 12:59 LGA
    DL 5662 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 17m · 87% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 46m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:45 LGA → 16:20 DCA
    DL 5709 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 35m · 61% on time, 5.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 46m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (5.5% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip4h 38mMVY 11:42 to DCA 16:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.