tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Detroit via Richmond: arrives on time 86%

  1. 07:15 LGA → 08:50 RIC
    DL 5664 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 35m · 88% on time, 6.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 46m layover in Richmond (RIC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:36 RIC → 14:21 DTW
    DL 3166 · Delta · 1h 45m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 181 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 46m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (6.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip7h 06mLGA 07:15 to DTW 14:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.