tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → New York via Boston: arrives on time 36%

  1. 18:59 RIC → 21:00 BOS
    DL 5665 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 01m · 63% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 BOS → 23:23 LGA
    DL 5840 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 23m · 69% on time, 11.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (11.6% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip4h 24mRIC 18:59 to LGA 23:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.