tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → New York via Washington: arrives on time 32%

  1. 14:20 BOS → 16:13 DCA
    DL 5682 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 48m · 69% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 DCA → 18:39 JFK
    DL 5713 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 67% on time, 7.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (7.2% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 19mBOS 14:20 to JFK 18:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.