tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Raleigh/Durham via Nashville: arrives on time 86%

  1. 07:10 LGA → 08:45 BNA
    DL 5688 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 35m · 89% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:00 BNA → 14:42 RDU
    AA 4639 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 43m · 89% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 33mLGA 07:10 to RDU 14:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.