tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Memphis via Boston: arrives on time 33%

  1. 18:25 DCA → 20:23 BOS
    DL 5689 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 58m · 62% on time, 12.8% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:15 BOS → 23:35 MEM
    DL 5594 · Delta, flown by Republic · 3h 20m · 69% on time, 5.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (12.8% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (5.4% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 10mDCA 18:25 to MEM 23:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.