tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → Charlotte via New York: arrives on time 56%

  1. 12:06 ACK → 13:29 LGA
    DL 5712 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 23m · 66% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 37m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:06 LGA → 19:32 CLT
    DL 5047 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 26m · 68% on time, 9.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 172 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 37m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (9.9% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 26mACK 12:06 to CLT 19:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.