tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Detroit via New York: arrives on time 47%

  1. 17:30 PWM → 18:59 LGA
    DL 5719 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 62% on time, 16.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 01m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 LGA → 23:10 DTW
    DL 1014 · Delta · 2h 10m · 70% on time, 5.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 76 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 01m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (16.7% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (5.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 40mPWM 17:30 to DTW 23:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.