tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Austin via New York: arrives on time 60%

  1. 09:05 BOS → 10:24 JFK
    DL 5720 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 19m · 87% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 JFK → 14:06 AUS
    DL 2323 · Delta · 3h 56m · 84% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 01mBOS 09:05 to AUS 14:06, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.