tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Wilmington via New York: arrives on time 46%

  1. 17:00 BOS → 18:29 LGA
    DL 5721 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 29m · 69% on time, 8.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 01m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 LGA → 22:44 ILM
    DL 5204 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 14m · 62% on time, 10.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 76 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 01m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (8.2% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (10.5% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 44mBOS 17:00 to ILM 22:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.