tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → Nashville via New York: arrives on time 38%

  1. 13:20 MKE → 16:37 LGA
    DL 5723 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 18m · 82% on time, 7.3% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:27 LGA → 19:19 BNA
    DL 5002 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 54m · 62% on time, 15.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (7.3% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (15.1% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 01mMKE 13:20 to BNA 19:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.