tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Madison via New York: arrives on time 53%

  1. 14:00 BOS → 15:17 LGA
    DL 5730 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 17m · 77% on time, 5.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 33m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 LGA → 19:43 MSN
    DL 5853 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 53m · 63% on time, 7.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 108 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 33m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (5.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (7.3% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 43mBOS 14:00 to MSN 19:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.