tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Richmond via New York: arrives on time 37%

  1. 15:00 BOS → 16:30 LGA
    DL 5736 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 74% on time, 4.9% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:22 LGA → 19:16 RIC
    DL 5760 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 54m · 72% on time, 21.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (21.8% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 16mBOS 15:00 to RIC 19:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.