tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Wilmington via New York: arrives on time 61%

  1. 11:00 DCA → 12:11 LGA
    DL 5742 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 11m · 75% on time, 6.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:29 LGA → 16:42 ILM
    DL 5212 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 09m · 73% on time, 5.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 38mDCA 11:00 to ILM 16:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.