tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Martha's Vineyard via New York: arrives on time 72%

  1. 11:00 DCA → 12:11 LGA
    DL 5742 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 11m · 75% on time, 6.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 34m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:45 LGA → 15:01 MVY
    DL 5822 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 16m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 49 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 34m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 01mDCA 11:00 to MVY 15:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.