tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Madison via Boston: arrives on time 58%

  1. 10:59 LGA → 12:22 BOS
    DL 5745 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 22m · 81% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:08 BOS → 15:03 MSN
    DL 5603 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 55m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 04mLGA 10:59 to MSN 15:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.