tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Asheville via New York: arrives on time 53%

  1. 13:30 DCA → 14:58 LGA
    DL 5747 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 23m · 67% on time, 6.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 46m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:44 LGA → 19:00 AVL
    DL 4665 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 17m · 69% on time, 7.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 46m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (6.1% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (7.9% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 31mDCA 13:30 to AVL 19:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.