tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Nantucket via Washington: arrives on time 55%

  1. 11:20 LGA → 12:46 DCA
    DL 5749 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 78% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 54m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:40 DCA → 17:12 ACK
    B6 2494 · JetBlue · 1h 32m · 65% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 84 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 54m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 52mLGA 11:20 to ACK 17:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.