tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Detroit via Washington: arrives on time 79%

  1. 08:35 JFK → 10:02 DCA
    DL 5750 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 27m · 92% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 27m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:29 DCA → 14:04 DTW
    DL 2476 · Delta · 1h 35m · 87% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 102 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 27m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 29mJFK 08:35 to DTW 14:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.