tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Portland via New York: arrives on time 24%

  1. 19:40 DCA → 21:00 LGA
    DL 5752 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 23m · 48% on time, 13.7% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:59 LGA → 23:29 PWM
    DL 5705 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 31m · 71% on time, 18.2% cancelled

Total trip 3h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (13.7% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (18.2% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip3h 50mDCA 19:40 to PWM 23:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.