tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Greenville via New York: arrives on time 36%

  1. 17:40 DCA → 19:00 LGA
    DL 5763 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 23m · 51% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 LGA → 22:35 GSP
    DL 4996 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 25m · 71% on time, 11.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (11.6% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 00mDCA 17:40 to GSP 22:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.