tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Chattanooga via New York: arrives on time 22%

  1. 17:40 DCA → 19:00 LGA
    DL 5763 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 23m · 51% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 LGA → 22:22 CHA
    DL 5276 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 32m · 64% on time, 9.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection42%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 58% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (42%) × second flight not cancelled (9.5% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 42mDCA 17:40 to CHA 22:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.