tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Miami via New York: arrives on time 24%

  1. 17:40 DCA → 19:00 LGA
    DL 5763 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 23m · 51% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 LGA → 23:19 MIA
    DL 2382 · Delta · 3h 26m · 59% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip5h 41mDCA 17:40 to MIA 23:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.