tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Indianapolis via New York: arrives on time 21%

  1. 17:40 DCA → 19:00 LGA
    DL 5763 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 23m · 51% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 LGA → 22:32 IND
    DL 5696 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 32m · 58% on time, 20.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (20.8% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 51mDCA 17:40 to IND 22:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.