tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Louisville via Boston: arrives on time 82%

  1. 09:30 EWR → 10:55 BOS
    DL 5764 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 25m · 95% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Boston (BOS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:59 BOS → 16:40 SDF
    AA 3438 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 41m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 10mEWR 09:30 to SDF 16:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.