tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → Washington via New York: arrives on time 31%

  1. 16:40 ACK → 18:04 LGA
    DL 5767 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 24m · 72% on time, 14.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:20 LGA → 20:59 DCA
    DL 5724 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 40m · 50% on time, 10.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (14.5% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (10.9% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip4h 20mACK 16:40 to DCA 20:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.