tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → Boston via New York: arrives on time 32%

  1. 16:40 ACK → 18:04 LGA
    DL 5767 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 24m · 72% on time, 14.5% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 LGA → 20:30 BOS
    DL 5746 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 57% on time, 9.6% cancelled

Total trip 3h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (14.5% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (9.6% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip3h 49mACK 16:40 to BOS 20:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.