tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → Charlotte via New York: arrives on time 37%

  1. 16:40 ACK → 18:04 LGA
    DL 5767 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 24m · 72% on time, 14.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:10 LGA → 21:33 CLT
    DL 5818 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 32m · 63% on time, 10.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (14.5% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (10.9% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 02mACK 16:40 to CLT 21:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.