tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Miami via Washington: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:05 LGA → 07:23 DCA
    DL 5770 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 18m · 89% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:55 DCA → 12:38 MIA
    AA 1173 · American · 2h 43m · 88% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 33mLGA 06:05 to MIA 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.