tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Chattanooga via New York: arrives on time 68%

  1. 08:15 DCA → 09:33 LGA
    DL 5772 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 18m · 81% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 4h 12m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:45 LGA → 16:04 CHA
    DL 4675 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 21m · 74% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 207 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 12m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 51mDCA 08:15 to CHA 16:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.